Price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on Nov 964%▲ 14US imports Russian diesel by Nov 3019%▲ 3US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by Nov 2251%▲ 3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Dec 1569%▲ 2Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by Dec 3113%▼ 2Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by Dec 3167%▼ 2Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination6%▼ 2NC-03 House winner: Greg Murphy14%▼ 2Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 20264%▲ 1Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by Dec 318%▲ 1US announces end of Iranian blockade by Nov 3018%▼ 1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Nov 2286%▲ 1Netanyahu out by end of 202645%▼ 1US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by Nov 3057%▲ 1Bitcoin reach $85,000 in Nov16%▼ 1Bitcoin reach $77,500 in Nov65%▲ 1Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by Dec 3122%▼ 1Price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on Nov 96%▼ 1Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on Nov 92%▼ 1Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on Nov 98%▼ 1Price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on Nov 93%▼ 73Ethereum dip to $2,000 in Nov67%▲ 28Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in Nov76%▲ 16Price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on Nov 9<1%▼ 15
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On the calendar
1 Dec
Georgia runoff day
Watching for a market
3 Jan
120th Congress sworn in
Watching for a market
Fed and rates
FOMC decisions, the Fed chair, rate pathsFed increase rates by 25 bps in Dec
77%
1h 024h 0
No Fed rate cuts happen in 2026
98%
1h 024h 0
Number of rate cuts in 2026: Exactly 0 cuts
97%
1h 024h 0
No change in Bank of England’s rates after Dec 2026 meeting
53%
1h -224h -2
Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the Mar meeting
67%
1h 024h +18
Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the Jun meeting
54%
1h 024h -19
CPI, PCE, jobs
Inflation prints, payrolls, GDP, recessionCPI in Oct: Above 0.2%
65%
1h -124h +9
Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026: Above 3.80
46%
1h 024h -2
Core CPI in Oct: Above 0.1%
85%
1h +124h -2
Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in Oct
35%
1h -124h +7
ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in Nov
41%
1h +324h +26
EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of Nov 2026
54%
1h -224h +42
Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%
28%
1h 024h -4
UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in Nov
49%
1h 024h -7
Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in Sep 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%
60%
1h 024h +6
Median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on Dec 31
39%
1h 024h –
Crypto
BTC, ETH, SOL prices, ETFs, the SEC, crypto billsPrice of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on Nov 9
64%
1h +1424h -26
Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by Dec 31
67%
1h -224h +11
Price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on Nov 9
62%
1h -224h -35
Ethereum dip to $1,900 in Nov
45%
1h 024h –
XRP reach $1.40 in Nov
11%
1h -124h -11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026
2%
1h 024h 0
Predict.fun launch a token by Dec 31
94%
1h -224h +3
Over $20M committed to the Mori Finance public sale
51%
1h 024h +1
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch
53%
1h 024h +2
Hyperliquid reach $100 by Dec 31
16%
1h -224h -11
US politics
Uncalled races, the new Congress, the White HouseWho will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026: Stephen Miller
97%
1h 024h 0
Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
26%
1h 024h 0
Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain
93%
1h 024h +3
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by Dec 31
43%
1h 024h +2
Alaska Senate winner: Democratic party
97%
1h 024h 0
Trump out as President before 2027
2%
1h 024h -1
J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination
32%
1h 024h -2
Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election
17%
1h 024h 0
Mississippi Senate winner: Scott Colom
98%
1h 024h 0
NC-03 House winner: Raymond Smith Jr.
86%
1h 024h 0
Geopolitics
Wars, ceasefires, deals, elections abroadIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through Nov 15
94%
1h 024h +5
U.S. invade Iran before 2027
12%
1h 024h +1
Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election
46%
1h 024h +1
Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026
94%
1h 024h 0
Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election
67%
1h 024h 0
China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
2%
1h 024h 0
Putin out as President of Russia by Jun 30, 2027
9%
1h 024h -1
Xi Jinping out before 2027
2%
1h 024h 0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026
45%
1h -124h -1
Israeli airspace closed by Dec 31
31%
1h +124h -8
Markets and tech
Stocks, oil, gold, AI and big techJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by Dec 31
13%
1h -224h –
Anthropic IPO by Dec 31
86%
1h 024h 0
Google have the best AI model at the end of Nov 2026
73%
1h 024h -4
Anthropic's valuation hit $1.75T by Dec 31
53%
1h 024h +3
Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec 31
74%
1h 024h +8
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by Nov 30
94%
1h 024h +8
Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by Mar 31, 2027
18%
1h 024h -2
Gold (GC) dip to $3,500 by end of Dec
8%
1h 024h -1
Gemini Carbon released by Nov 15
86%
1h -124h +3
Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Nov 30
85%
1h 024h +11
5,235 open markets tracked · prices from 09:44 UTC · refreshes on its own