Odds moves
Where the money changed its mind. Every number is live from Polymarket and Kalshi.
Price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on Nov 9
62%
1h +1124h -29
Bitcoin reach $75,000 on Nov 9
60%
1h -724h –
Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on Nov 9
43%
1h -724h –
Price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on Nov 9
61%
1h -424h -36
Anthropic IPO by Nov 17
8%
1h -424h –
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by Nov 22
51%
1h +324h +5
Price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on Nov 9
5%
1h -324h -31
Price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Nov 9
36%
1h +224h +28
Ethereum dip to $2,000 in Nov
69%
1h +224h +29
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by Dec 31
13%
1h -224h –
Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by Dec 31
67%
1h -224h +11
US imports Russian diesel by Nov 30
18%
1h +224h +4
Ethereum reach $2,500 in Nov
22%
1h +224h -15
Ethereum dip to $2,000 on Nov 9
12%
1h +224h –
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election: Gadi Eizenkot
56%
1h -224h -4
NC-03 House winner: Greg Murphy
14%
1h -224h -1
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense: Before Feb 1, 2027
61%
1h +224h +5
Ethereum reach $2,200 on Nov 9
11%
1h -124h –
Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on Nov 9
18%
1h +124h –
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026
4%
1h +124h +1
Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election
36%
1h -124h 0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by Nov 30
18%
1h -124h +3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through Nov 22
86%
1h +124h +5
BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31
11%
1h +124h 0
Price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on Nov 9
95%
1h -124h -3
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by Nov 30
57%
1h +124h -1
Bitcoin reach $85,000 in Nov
16%
1h -124h –
Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in Nov
56%
1h +124h –
Ethereum reach $2,600 in Nov
13%
1h +124h -11
Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by Dec 31
22%
1h -124h +3
Price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on Nov 9
6%
1h -124h –
Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination
6%
1h -124h -4
NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Dec 31
23%
1h +124h -11
US imports Russian diesel by Dec 31
22%
1h +124h +6
PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election
15%
1h -124h +4
Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in Nov
35%
1h +124h +10
Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election
5%
1h -124h 0
Anthropic IPO by Dec 31
87%
1h +124h 0
Anthropic's valuation hit $1.5T by Dec 31
78%
1h +124h +4
Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election
33%
1h -124h -1
Markets with $10K+ in 24h volume. Ranked by the size of the move in points. Updated 09:52 UTC.